Kenya is stepping up preparations for heavy rainfall as El Niño conditions increase the risk of floods, flash floods and landslides across the country. November is expected to be the peak of the October–December short-rains season, raising concerns about the impact on communities, infrastructure and livelihoods.
The National Disaster Operations Centre has warned that up to 1.5 million people could be affected and urged residents in flood-prone areas to move to safer, higher ground, the Associated Press reported on November 13.
The Kenya Meteorological Service Authority has forecast above-average rainfall in most parts of the country. Its November outlook identifies 43 counties as likely to receive more than 125% of their seasonal average rainfall. The forecast also warns of possible flooding, landslides and other weather-related hazards.
The government and county authorities are taking measures to reduce the potential impact. In Nairobi, workers are clearing drainage systems and waterways, while officials have identified 172 locations that could serve as emergency shelters, with food and medicine available for displaced residents. Authorities are also planning to work with mobile operator Safaricom to send emergency alerts.
The World Health Organization (WHO) has warned that flooding could contaminate drinking-water sources and sanitation systems, increasing the risk of cholera, typhoid and other waterborne diseases. Kenya's Ministry of Health has activated a contingency plan to strengthen disease surveillance, emergency response and access to essential health services.
The latest warnings come after severe flooding during the March–May 2026 rainy season affected 27 counties, killed 122 people and impacted more than 42,000 residents, WHO says.
While El Niño is associated with increased rainfall in parts of East Africa, the severity of its effects will depend on local weather conditions and preparedness. Authorities are urging residents to follow official forecasts and evacuation instructions as the rainy season continues.
